Option Probability Theory: A quest for better measures


Have you ever wondered how to determine if a candidate in an exam 'guessed' their way to a good score?


Now there is a way to know!


Prof John Barnard, founder and exec director at EPEC has developed a new measurement paradigm, Option Probability Theory (OPT), which can highlight the confidence a candidate had in each of their answers in an exam paper.


An article on OPT has been published in the American Review of Mathematics and Statistics and there is another article due to be published in 2016.


EPEC has already evidenced the benefits of OPT in high school scholarships and medical practice tests, and is currently implementing this new measurement paradigm in formal examination scenarios.


With the ability to determine the amount of guessing in tests and faking in questionnaires, imagine what could be next!

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